Avalanche Forecast published on March 20, 2019 @ 6:59 am
This Avalanche Forecast expires in 23 hours, 27 minutes
This Forecast is valid for 24 hours
Issued by Steve Reynaud - Tahoe National Forest

MODERATE avalanche danger will exist due to wind slab and loose wet avalanche problems.  Human triggered avalanches are possible today.

2. Moderate

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Above Treeline
Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

2. Moderate

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Near Treeline
Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

2. Moderate

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Below Treeline
Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.
    Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.
Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slab
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Wind slab avalanches will be possible on NW-N-NE-E-SE aspects in near and above treeline terrain due to strong SW winds along with new snowfall.  Wind slab size is expected to be small in many areas that received the lower end of new snow amounts.  In places that received more snow, wind slab avalanches could be large enough to injure or bury a backcountry user. 

Look for blowing snow, wind pillows, and cornice development.  Utilize terrain options to avoid areas of concern.   

Avalanche Problem 2: Loose Wet
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Loose wet avalanches will be possible on all aspects at lower elevations as warming occurs today.  Snow levels could fluctuate during the day with light rain weakening the upper snowpack.  Periods of sun in some areas could also lead to rapid warming conditions.  Mild overnight temperatures existed in many areas below 7500' with a marginal, if any overnight refreeze.  Near and above treeline areas are expected to remain cooler with cloud cover and strong SW winds.

Monitor weather conditions in your area.  Rapid warming from intense periods of sun or rain on snow will make loose wet avalanche instabilities more likely.

Weather and CURRENT CONDITIONS
weather summary

Remote sensors are reporting 3 to 4'' of new snowfall overnight along the Sierra Crest.  Strong SW winds will continue along with a few more inches of snow possible for today and tonight.  Winds will decrease slightly this afternoon before shifting to the W/NW tonight.  Snow levels are forecasted to stay around 6500' throughout the day.  Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon for our area.  This pattern will continue into Thursday with a weather break on Friday. 

Weather observations from along the Sierra Crest between 8200 ft. and 8800 ft.
0600 temperature: 25 to 31 deg. F.
Max. temperature in the last 24 hours: 38 to 46 deg. F.
Average wind direction during the last 24 hours: E shifting to SW
Average wind speed during the last 24 hours: 20 to 40 mph
Maximum wind gust in the last 24 hours: 71 mph
New snowfall in the last 24 hours: 3 to 4 inches
Total snow depth: 114 to 152 inches
Two-Day Mountain Weather Forecast Produced in partnership with the Reno NWS
For 7000 ft. to 8000 ft.
Today Tonight Thursday
Weather: Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers in the morning, then widespread snow showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Snow levels below 7000 feet. Chance of precipitation is 75%. Cloudy. Widespread snow showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of snow showers after midnight. Snow levels below 7000 feet. Chance of precipitation is 65%. Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Snow levels below 7000 feet. Chance of precipitation is 45%.
Temperatures: 35 to 40. deg. F. 22 to 27. deg. F. 34 to 39. deg. F.
Mid Slope Winds: South 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 35 mph. West to northwest winds around 10 mph. West to northwest winds around 10 mph.
Expected snowfall: 70% probability up to 1 inch. 30% probability 1 to 2 inches. | SWE = up to 0.15 inch. up to 1 inch. | SWE = less than 0.10 inch. up to 1 inch. | SWE = less than 0.10 inch.
For 8000 ft. to 9000 ft.
Today Tonight Thursday
Weather: Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers in the morning, then widespread snow showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Snow levels below 7000 feet. Chance of precipitation is 75%. Cloudy. Widespread snow showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of snow showers after midnight. Snow levels below 7000 feet. Chance of precipitation is 65%. Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Snow levels below 7000 feet. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Temperatures: 30 to 36. deg. F. 18 to 24. deg. F. 29 to 35. deg. F.
Ridge Top Winds: South 20 to 40 mph with gusts to 55 mph in the morning decreasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph in the afternoon. West to northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph. West to northwest around 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Expected snowfall: 70% probability up to 1 inch. 30% probability 1 to 3 inches. | SWE = up to 0.15 inch. up to 2 inches. | SWE = less than 0.10 inch. up to 1 inch. | SWE = less than 0.10 inch.
Disclaimer

This avalanche forecast is provided through a partnership between the Tahoe National Forest and the Sierra Avalanche Center. This forecast covers the Central Sierra Nevada Mountains between Yuba Pass on the north and Ebbetts Pass on the south. Click here for a map of the forecast area. This forecast applies only to backcountry areas outside established ski area boundaries. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This forecast expires 24 hours after the posted time unless otherwise noted. The information in this forecast is provided by the USDA Forest Service who is solely responsible for its content.

For a recorded version of the avalanche forecast call (530) 587-3558 x258

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