This avalanche advisory is provided through a partnership between the Tahoe National Forest and the Sierra Avalanche Center. This advisory covers the Central Sierra Nevada Mountains between Yuba Pass on the north and Ebbetts Pass on the south. Click here for a map of the forecast area. This advisory applies only to backcountry areas outside established ski area boundaries. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This advisory expires 24 hours after the posted time unless otherwise noted. The information in this advisory is provided by the USDA Forest Service who is solely responsible for its content.


This Avalanche Advisory was published on December 14, 2012:


December 14, 2012 at 7:45 am

Avalanche danger is LOW for all elevations and aspects. Normal caution is advised. Isolated areas of instability may exist, especially in extreme terrain.


Forecast Discussion:


Moisture out ahead of the next weather system expected to come onshore tomorrow afternoon will push some cloud cover into the forecast area today. Expect a slight chance of snow showers, below average air temperatures, and light winds. Remote sensors above 6,800' are reporting air temperatures mainly in the teens this morning with a few isolated areas in the single digits. An air temperature inversion has cold air on the mountain valley floors this morning with low single digits and near zero readings. Air temperatures are forecast to warm into the mid teens to mid 20s today for areas above 7,000'.

Recent Observations:

Observations made yesterday on Castle Peak (Donner Summit area) revealed small lingering areas of minor wind slab instability. Very minor cracking occurred in previously wind loaded areas. All of the fractured slabs were too small to present a hazard to backcountry travelers. Widespread surface hoar was observed above 8,000' in all but the most sun and wind exposed areas (photos, pit profile, more info). Keep an eye out for areas of surface hoar that are not destroyed prior to the next snowfall. With the forecast below average air temperatures and light winds, there is a chance that this layer could become buried before it is destroyed.

Observations made yesterday on Powderhouse Peak (Luther Pass area) revealed a general lack of slab formation below treeline. No evidence of slab instability was observed in this area (pit profile, video, more info). On both Castle Peak and Powderhouse Peak, snowpit tests targeting the Dec 2nd facet layer indicated that the snowpack load and slab properties above this layer had not yet reached a critical stage.

Avalanche Problem #1: Wind Slabs

Triggering a wind slab avalanche is unlikely today, but one might find an isolated area of instability in extreme terrain. Slab depth is likely to be less than 1 foot deep, but could have the potential to bury or injure a person if a terrain trap or impact with trees is involved.

Avalanche Problem #2: Persistent Slabs

Rain and snow on December 2nd placed a few inches of new snow between two rain crusts. This snow has subsequently faceted since that time and become a weak layer. This layer is widespread and is most well developed on NW-N-NE aspects between 7,500' and 10,000'. At this time, only very isolated areas seem to have sufficient snow load and slab characteristics on top of this layer to bring it close to failure. Heavily wind loaded NE aspects are the most suspect. Triggering an avalanche on this layer is unlikely today, but as additional new snow loading occurs over the next week or two, this layer warrants continued monitoring. Failure of this layer will occur deeper within the snowpack than storm snow instability. The Dec 2nd facet layer is easily identified, as it is the sugary snow located just below the first crust encountered when digging down into the snowpack.


The bottom line:

Avalanche danger is LOW for all elevations and aspects. Normal caution is advised. Isolated areas of instability may exist, especially in extreme terrain.


Brandon Schwartz - Avalanche Forecaster, Tahoe National Forest


Weather Observations from along the Sierra Crest between 8200 ft and 8800 ft:

0600 temperature: 13 to 18 deg. F.
Max. temperature in the last 24 hours: 21 to 25 deg. F.
Average wind direction during the last 24 hours: East shifting to southwest
Average wind speed during the last 24 hours: 10 mph
Maximum wind gust in the last 24 hours: 17 mph
New snowfall in the last 24 hours: O inches
Total snow depth: 43 to 51 inches

Two-Day Mountain Weather Forecast - Produced in partnership with the Reno NWS

For 7000-8000 ft:

  Friday: Friday Night: Saturday:
Weather: Mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of snow showers in the afternoon.
Temperatures: 19 to 26 deg. F. 13 to 19 deg. F. 24 to 31 deg. F.
Wind direction: Variable Variable SW
Wind speed: Light winds Light winds Light winds increasing to 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Expected snowfall: 0 to trace in. 0 to trace in. 0 to trace in.

For 8000-9000 ft:

  Friday: Friday Night: Saturday:
Weather: Mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of snow showers in the afternoon.
Temperatures: 13 to 20 deg. F. 9 to 16 deg. F. 18 to 26 deg. F.
Wind direction: Variable NE N shifting to W
Wind speed: Light winds Light winds increasing to 10 to 15 mph after midnight. 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Expected snowfall: 0 to trace in. 0 to trace in. 0 to trace in.